MVFC Week 3

[JBB2]

Week 3

• SDSU: Beating Montana State carries a lot of weight

• NDSU: Bison continue to roll like Kramer in 5th grade karate class. Great crowd

• UND: last minute loss to Montana showed us a good team still putting it together but cracks are showing. They are learning to choke not win.

• SIU: solid 37-10 win for the Salukis shutting out UTM in the 1st & 4th qtrs

• Youngstown State: looking respectable scored in every qtr losing to Mich State 41-24

• USD: Losing Pierre for the season hurts but the Yotes start the turn around 24-17 in a solid OT win over UNC.

• ISU-R: Dang near MAC ready 42-30 losing the 2 & 4th Qtrs to EIU 14-10 and 14-20

• UNI: EWU comes up short scoring 14 in the 4th qtr in a losing effort 17-14

• Sycamores: give up 73 to Indiana in 73-0 laugher

• Murray State: still in the hunt, playoff hopes still alive Murray State won the 4th quarter 14-7 but lost to Georgia State. 37-21

IMG_1818-compressed.jpeg (148.8 KiB) Viewed 49235 times

[JBB2]

IMG_1817-compressed.jpeg (100.82 KiB) Viewed 49234 times

IMG_1816-compressed.jpeg (97.73 KiB) Viewed 49234 times

[JBB2]

Sagarin.

Highlight strength of schedule NDSU vs SDSU. Both are successful.

IMG_1839-compressed.jpeg (73.59 KiB) Viewed 49230 times

[JBB2]

Based on the following SDSU has clung to my top spot in the MVFC because

• Sagarin Winner depends on location. 3 pts apart home field advantage of 5

• Uncertainty around rebuilding efforts for both teams resulted in statistical extrapolations indicating a close SDSU win

• SDSUs win over Montana State and the weak Bison schedule

Using 2025 cumulative statistics I ran the mythical match-up below. 13 pt spread was a surprise but 30-17 seems doeable. Again, the distortion may be SOS, the Bison have had a very easy time of it, In the mean time take your pick but the evidence against SDSU is starting to add up.

IMG_1866-compressed.jpeg (140.75 KiB) Viewed 49171 times

[kevin]

SDSU would lose by 14 if we played them this weekend. Our defense is too good.

That might change if they figure a few things out.