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MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2026 9:49 am
by JBB2
Week 0: -135.
Week 1; -650 total: -785.
Week 2; -280 total: -1,065
Week 3: -23 total: -1,088
Week 4: +295 total: -793
Week 5: +191 total -602
Week 6:
Our picks against the most powerful computers in the world
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Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Mon Oct 05, 2026 7:34 pm
by kevin
I don't think UNLV will be as close as people think. I'm betting accordingly.
I also have CTE, so not financial advice.
Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Tue Oct 06, 2026 4:28 am
by JBB2
I haven’t checked but NDSU was a 3.5 favorite @ 102. They can cover and it’s cheap. UNKV plus pts was 120.. Expensive.
lol. None of this is financial advice Not sure what CTF is. All I know is I didn’t sell VZ at the top. Now I’m selling VZ puts and calls for peanuts and Elons taking a huge bite out of their wireless business.
Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Tue Oct 06, 2026 5:54 am
by JBB2
It’s hard to beat these guys. I keep track. Note no dollar signs anywhere. I’m simply trying to devise a mathematical model that will reliably predict the future. I don’t understand the one they have so
I’m building my own
THIS WEEKS CHALLENGE TO THE WORLDS MOST POWERFUL COMPUTERS:
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Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Tue Oct 06, 2026 6:13 pm
by JBB2
This week Sagarin
Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Wed Oct 07, 2026 11:47 am
by JBB2
Kevin got me thinking. In the Nuts & Bolts table I discovered Bison passing yds estimated @ 130. Using season averages I see -8.5.
Midas has NDSU -3.5. We set -5.5, we update to -8.5, all heading in the right direction I’m expecting the spread to widen as the week goes on. We have -3.5 based on NDSUs demonstrated ability to cover 3.5.
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Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Thu Oct 08, 2026 9:23 pm
by JBB2
Another look at comparative strength
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Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2026 8:39 am
by JBB2
This week could be a big TV week.
UW/NDSU drew an average of 360,000 viewers on the CW, per @On3.
It was most-viewed CW game last Saturday, ahead of Boston College-SMU in 11 a.m. slot (340K viewers) and Pac-12’s Texas State-San Diego State in 9:30 p.m. slot (260K). It also outdrew the SDSU vs Oregon State game on USA. Interesting
Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2026 6:24 am
by JBB2
I3,104 fans enjoyed an exciting defensive battle in San Jose watching the Cowboys win in OT 16-13.
Trailing, the Cowboys score on a 4th Qtr drive to tie 13-13. A short OT drive led to the winning FG 16-13.
We had SHSU -2, Fan Duel had them -6.5, a spread they were unikely to cover. It was a defense battle. Both teams fell a TD short of potential keeping the total at 29 under the predicted 43.5
Re: MWC FOOTBALL: WEEK #6
Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2026 7:03 am
by JBB2
These guys figure half the crowd in Vegas will be NDSU. Defense and the running game lead to a Bison win
https://youtu.be/Mw3BHQmj2-g?si=YWJCLS_JdZ8GFEuJ
