Bison Forum

GAMES November 22, 2025

St. Thomas @ NDSU BISON

• BISON -28
  Total Score 52
  Mythical Score NDSU BISON 40 TOMMIES 12

GUIDANCE: st Thomas +32.5, Bison to win, over 51.5,

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Montana State* @ Montana

• MSU -2
  Total Score 60
  Mythical Score MSU 31-29

Assuming a Bison win, Winner should move to #2
Guidance: MSU to cover 1.5 and win outright. Over 59.5

SDSU @ UND*

• UND -5
  Total Score 51
  Mythical Score UND 28-23

SDSU is having a disappointing season. They could redeem things here with an upset.
Guidance: SDSU +9.5, UND to win, Over 58.5.
We took SDSU on the money. und2 football has been a choke fest.

Harvard* @ Yale

• Harvard -6
  Total Score 50
  Mythical Score Harvard 28-22

If it all goes their way there is a potential 42-15 route lurking in the numbers for Harvard. It’s best in a rivalry game to recognize the full potential of each team. GUIDANCE: Yale +8.5, Harvard to win, Under 50.5

STATE (Sacramento)* @ UC Davis

• STATE -3
  Total Score 61
  Mythical Score STATE 32 - 29

Virtual field lengths under 100 yds for both offenses and defenses. This could get wild. It’s the defenses. They are weak against their competition. GUIDANCE: STATE +4,5, STATE to win, Under 51.5

SIU* @ ILLINOIS STATE

• SIU -2
  Total Score 60
  Mythical Score SIU 31-29

Two good offenses. Two average defenses. The Redbirds stop the run, the Saluki’s the pass. GUIDANCE: SIU +4.5, SIU to win, Over 59.5

Austin Peay @ (STATE) Tarleton*

• STATE -7
  Total Score 67
  Mythical Score 38-29

STATE (Tarleton) has the statistical look of an FCS contender. We will see. AP will bring a competitive team but STATE is a step ahead on both sides of the ball. GUIDANCE: AustinPA +20.5, Tarleton to win, Over 69.5

Tenn Tech* @ UT Martin

• Tenn Tech -6
  Total Score 64
  Mythical Score TT 34-30

Tech has the superior offense but their defense may allow a capable UT Martin team to roll, especially on the ground. With a better ground game UT Martin would be a contender. This may be their game. GUIDANCE: UTM +15.5, TT to win, Over 54.5

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There are two reversals The GAM has a different projected winner. SIU over Illinois State & Sacramento over Davis.

3 money lines: SDSU for the upset, SIU and Sacramento. All others priced out. Winners in the FCS are pretty predictable. Not much action can be taken on 500,000:1 favorite and such, leaving only the spread and total playable.

Over and unders matching very well with GAM several being decided by the half point convention.

Monetized at FANDUEL you can monetize or play for fun. Adding the odds for each line played these positions represent 2,101. We are trying to beat that score. At this point, If we play they have everything of value. We have nothing except their promise to pay. What a horse-shit proposition.

No need to worry about players, home fields or loyalties. No guessing. It’s purely numbers. So far so good. They use similar formulas, they are very good, expert in fact, at setting the parameters but it’s all in the odds It’s surprising how often the vig is the measure of their profit.

This year resolution has improved with the discovery of another level of analysis. Specifically helping with the half point convention and over/unders. More and more we are looking at that half point as the difference. We used to stay away from them but thise were untapped market moves. This week is a big test for these half points and over/unders. Keeping emotion out is also difficult.

STATS PERFORM:

DRAFT KINGS ODDS FCS CHAMPION
Tarleton fans are optimistic

Tennessee Tech fans saw the Kentucky game

und fans obviously thought it was teh hockeys

LATE ADDITION:

Indiana St* @ STATE (Murray)

• Sycamores -2
  Total Score 60
  Mythical Score Sycamores 31 Racers 29

This promises to be a great game. Fanduel has The Sycamores -10.5/-113. O/U is 50.5/-113. Murray state is a 1:3.4 underdog.

The short ~85 yd virtual defensive fields and decent offenses point to a wide open game. The Racers bring a strong passing attack. The Sycamores a weak pass defense. This should be enough to keep it within 10.5 pts and propel the total score past 50.5.

Let’s go Racers! 100 for the upset please Alex.

SDSU fans speculating on the imminent return of Chase Mason. Film below


https://x.com/Tanner_Castora/status/199 ... 7107398867

Delivered a knockout blow to Vegas today. The GAM stands triumphant!

$1,171 this week + $187 season so far = $1,358

Set for the first round. The GAM was on top of everything.

The Racers of Murray state upset The Sycamores. We didn’t get the over under but took the Racers, 10.5 pts and on the money to win. $653 gross on that one!

SDSU in an exciting game upsets the Sioux in OT accompanied by a hilarious dialog of defeat on sioussuckatsports. Clean sweep for a net of $455! Both teams are dangerous. SDSU is in and a threat to the Bison. UND has the statistical profile but are losers. Might not be in harms way.

Won the over under on the Bison game. Thought they might take it easy on the Tommies. They probably.did The Tommies take home worst performance of the week award.

The Montana State win over Montana was game of the week. The top challengers to the Bison played at Washington Grizz today.

The other contenders, with a nod to Sac and Davis, might give a good game but are coming to Fargo big underdogs. Harvard doesn’t look like they will make it.

Vegas computers are providing opportunity by stretching the spreads too far and mistakes with strength of schedule.. They have the Over/Under pretty well pegged and only open the money lines when there is action. This week will be interesting. The GAM is primed and there is ample coal to generate the power needed to spark its AI insights.

Tarletan just scored a TD on a long pass in OT. Showed class too Reciever didn’t make a spectacle of themselves either! Looked classy like it’s what you do if you are good.

Austin Peay comes right back with a TD pass of their own going for 2and the win INCOMPLETE. Tarleton wins 44-45. We had Austin and 20.5!

First section is teams, final score and GAM information. Red highlights reversals. GAM opposit Vegas computers

Second section is the Fanduel information including the all important odds. Our picks bold, winners green, losers re.

Third section our positions as dictated by the GAM with the $ risk

Fourth section the results

That should be it. Human error eliminated we hope.

If you don’t have 8 Wins In a 12 game FCs season

YOU ARE OUT

Going to see some 7-5 teams.