Page 3 of 9

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2025 3:06 pm
by JBB2
FOOTBALL ALERT: ODDS CHANGE

Money is starting to move to Montana State. BISON +4. MSU -$170 on the Money Line

Betting crowds are starting to notice these exquisite offenses with the O/U now 57

From Draft Kings
Screenshot 2025-01-01 at 8.57.32 AM-compressed.jpeg
Screenshot 2025-01-01 at 8.57.32 AM-compressed.jpeg (17.15 KiB) Viewed 8953 times

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Wed Jan 01, 2025 6:45 pm
by kevin
I get it. Touchy Tommy could definitely molest us for 200 yards passing and 100 yards rushing.

But even with our gaping defensive issues aside +142 is free money.

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2025 1:45 pm
by JBB2
The thing about Montana State: they are good. Almost as good as the Bison, but not quite. Their greatness is amplified by their weaker schedule, but they are great, just not as great as NDSU

During the season both offensively and defensively every team develops a unique statistical profile. These profiles can be used to develop reliable predictors and monitors.


OFFENSIVELY:

For game monitors

Keep this in mind: 1.14


=Total game yards gained Cats/total game yards gained BISON

During the game, As that ratio approaches 1.14 the chances of a BISON victory dim. You are in the red zone at 1.07.

This is certainly no gambling advice and/or encouragement to gamble, but you can use this ratio for in-game monitoring. It’s a monitor not a predictor

The defensive ratio in a game situation is just the reciprocal. Based on season performance The number is .9327

Simply put
The BISON can win this one even on the short end of the statistics because The BISON are a more efficient football team

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2025 2:15 pm
by JBB2
kevin wrote: Wed Jan 01, 2025 6:45 pm I get it. Touchy Tommy could definitely molest us for 200 yards passing and 100 yards rushing.

But even with our gaping defensive issues aside +142 is free money.
Might as well take the points too

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2025 2:38 pm
by JBB2
FOOTBALL ALERT: ODDS CHANGE

Money flowed back to The BISON. The betting crowd piled on the 4 points and money line of +$142.

From Draft Kings It’s now
Screenshot 2025-01-02 at 8.32.26 AM.png
Screenshot 2025-01-02 at 8.32.26 AM.png (37.59 KiB) Viewed 8932 times

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Thu Jan 02, 2025 3:54 pm
by kevin
Pretty sure I moved that line all by myself.

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Fri Jan 03, 2025 2:43 am
by JBB2
Plans are set. Family from Tennessee rolling in for the big game. Tailgate calling for Prime SRF fillets with a master bbq chief at my side. Grill carrots, onion with au gratin potatoes. Looking forward to it all. Kari down at the liquor store will set me up with the wine. Vanilla ice cream for dessert unless you would rather have a popsicle. We are getting deluxe cashews too!


The Grill House

IMG_0390-compressed-compressed.jpeg
IMG_0390-compressed-compressed.jpeg (163.26 KiB) Viewed 8922 times

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 9:35 am
by JBB2
Hopefully the MWC news won’t serve as a psychological drag on The Bison. I hope it inspires them to the win.

🏆

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 2:48 pm
by JBB2
Frisco:
Screenshot 2025-01-04 at 8.45.44 AM-compressed.jpeg
Screenshot 2025-01-04 at 8.45.44 AM-compressed.jpeg (79.3 KiB) Viewed 8900 times

Re: Bobcats vs. Bison*

Posted: Sat Jan 04, 2025 3:06 pm
by JBB2
South Dakota roads are good but poor driving conditions are moving in from the west.
Screenshot 2025-01-04 at 8.57.26 AM-compressed.jpeg
Screenshot 2025-01-04 at 8.57.26 AM-compressed.jpeg (216.99 KiB) Viewed 8898 times